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Product 1

Momentum + Reversal Strategy

Overview

An integrated trading strategy that combines adaptive trend-following with mean-reversion, designed to perform across a wide range of market regimes, including trending and range-bound environments.

How it works

Momentum component

Leverages probabilistic moving averages to dynamically adapt to changing market structure. This approach:

  • Identifies and captures both directional trends and broad trading ranges
  • Operates without reliance on static indicators
  • Is particularly effective in intermediate-term momentum environments

Reversal component

Focuses on mean-reversion by identifying price deviations from equilibrium. Key features include:

  • A machine learning model that estimates the probability of bullish or bearish conditions based on diverse market features
  • Integration of probabilistic signals with classical reversal setups for more precise entry and exit timing
  • Use of cross-validation during model development to reduce overfitting and improve generalization
  • Deployment of multiple reversal signals to enhance robustness and adaptability across market

Active Period

01-06-2023 — 31-08-2025

Live Performance

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Backtest Performance

Backtest results based on historical data simulation